It was almost 2 weeks ago when I asked the question if the Cubs were going to lose 100 games for only the 3rd time in their history.
In the end, I said that it was very unlikely, but possible. With the current trend, I said it was likely the team would hit 97 losses.
So, we've had about 10 games since then, and where do we stand now?
Well, when I did the story a few weeks ago, the Cubs, based on the full season trend, were on pace for 93 losses. If the trend for the second half of the season continued, that would have put them at 97 loses.
Well, now, the Cubs record stands at 51-74. That puts them, besed on the full season trend at a 66-96 record. So, the overall trend does appear to be worsening.
If I again look at the trend since the All-Star break, with the 12-24 record since the All-Star break, that gives the Cubs 25 more loses over the last 37 games of this season.
99 losses.
Now look at the trend over the month of August.
The Cubs are 5 and 16 during this month. based on that trend, the Cubs are on pace for 28 more losses this season.
102 losses.
So there you have it. As you look closer and closer at the current trends, things get uglier and uglier. And if the current trends continues, the Cubs might be knocking at the door of their all-time single season record for losses of 103.
Still, is it likely? No, but this team is going to have to start playing a little better to avoid it.
